SL AA · Statistics and Probability

Binomial distribution — B(n,p) (IB Math AA SL)

Updated October 2026

Quick answer: Use X ~ B(n, p) when there are n independent trials, each with the same probability p of success. P(X = r) = ⁿCᵣ pʳ(1 − p)ⁿ⁻ʳ, E(X) = np and Var(X) = np(1 − p).

n trials, probability p of success. SL AA expects you to know both the mean (np) and variance (np(1-p)) plus how to use the GDC's binomialCDF function.

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Key ideas

Worked example

A quiz has 12 multiple-choice questions, each with 4 options. Sam guesses every answer. Find the probability that Sam gets exactly 3 right, the probability that Sam gets at least 5 right, and the expected number right.

  1. Each guess is right with probability 1/4, independently, so X ~ B(12, 0.25).
  2. P(X = 3) = ¹²C₃ (0.25)³(0.75)⁹ = 0.258 (3 s.f.).
  3. P(X ≥ 5) = 1 − P(X ≤ 4) = 1 − 0.8424 = 0.158 (3 s.f.).
  4. E(X) = np = 12 × 0.25 = 3.

Answer: 0.258, 0.158 and 3 questions.

Exam-style SL AA questions on this topic

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5 quick questions on the binomial distribution. No sign-in needed.

\(X \sim B(4, \frac{1}{4})\). Find \(P(X = 2)\). Give your answer to 3 significant figures.
Choose your answer · keys 1–4

Do it on your GDC

A calculator is allowed on AA Paper 2, not on Paper 1. Keystrokes for the TI-84 Plus CE, TI-Nspire CX II and Casio fx-CG50, with a checked worked example:

Maths IA ideas that use binomial distribution

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Revise Binomial distribution for the exam

Stretch yourself: original probability problems at Senior level (ages 16 to 18), with hints and full solutions: Problem S102 · Problem S30 · Problem S103 · Problem S31. All 20 →

Formulas in this topic: Binomial distribution. All formulas A–Z

Sibling topic in other IB Maths courses

FAQ

How do I find P(X ≥ r) for a binomial distribution?

Write it as 1 − P(X ≤ r − 1) and use binomial CDF on the GDC. For example, P(X ≥ 5) = 1 − P(X ≤ 4).

Where can I practise binomial distribution questions?

On the Discrete Random Variables questions page: 50 exam-style SL AA questions with full mark schemes, plus free step-by-step worked examples.

Can I use my calculator for binomial distribution?

In SL AA, Paper 1 is non-calculator and the other papers allow a GDC, so learn the exact method as well as the calculator one. The Binomial and Poisson distributions guide gives the keystrokes for the TI-84 Plus CE, TI-Nspire CX II and Casio fx-CG50.

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