Worked example 1: Finding probability constants and expected value
A biased 4-sided die has
Solution
1. Sum of probabilities
2. Solve:
3. Expected value:
IB Maths AA SL · Unit 4: Statistics and Probability
Updated October 2026
Exam-style IB Maths AA SL discrete random variables questions with worked solutions. Start with the 3 fully worked examples below — each is solved step by step, showing the working that earns the marks — then try the practice questions and check your working against the mark scheme.
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n trials, probability p of success. SL AA expects you to know both the mean (np) and variance (np(1-p)) plus how to use the GDC's binomialCDF function. Binomial distribution — B(n,p) overview →
The question bank covers these discrete random variables question types (number of questions in brackets):
Where marks are lost: Recurring errors: P(X ≥ 1) written as 1 − P(X ≤ 1); forgetting to reverse an inequality after dividing by a negative logarithm; an off-by-one slip when turning a strict inequality for a whole-number variable into a cumulative probability; a normal probability found for a single value instead of between the rounding bounds; the binomial used where the normal was needed (or the reverse); an inverse-normal value taken from the wrong tail; and μ and σ from two probabilities solved by hand.
Examiners flagged this in 4 exam series (May 2024, November 2024, May 2025, November 2025). Summarised in our own words from IB subject reports, IB Programme Resource Centre. Read the full note →
A biased 4-sided die has
1. Sum of probabilities
2. Solve:
3. Expected value:
A game costs
1. Fair game:
2. Set up:
3. Simplify:
4. Solve:
Defect rate
1. Distribution:
2. Formula:
3. Numerator (Binomial PD):
4. Denominator (Binomial CD,
5. Divide:
Three questions from the bank, easiest first. Mark schemes and AI marking of your written working are in the practice area. One of them has its full worked solution here, open to everyone.
A fair coin is tossed 20 times and the number of times it lands heads up is recorded as the random variable
Find the expected number of times that the coin will land heads up.
Use your graphic display calculator to find the probability that the coin lands heads up exactly 15 times.
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable
Find the exact value of
Find the expected value,
Sum of probabilities
Every question here has a full worked solution. See them all →
A company manufactures computer chips. It is known that
Find the probability that the inspector finds fewer than 8 defective chips.
Given that the inspector finds fewer than 8 defective chips, find the conditional probability that they found exactly 5 defective chips.
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All 50 discrete random variables questions with mark schemes →
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There are 50 exam-style discrete random variables questions in the AA SL question bank (Paper 1: 32 · Paper 2: 18), graded 14 easy, 20 medium, 11 hard, 5 very hard. Every question has a full IB-style mark scheme (M, A and R marks).
Both. In the bank, Paper 1: 32 · Paper 2: 18. Paper 1 is non-calculator, so practise the exact-value algebra as well as the GDC methods.
Open the AA SL Unit 4 practice page: every question has a step-by-step IB-style mark scheme, and you can photograph your working for instant AI marking. The worked examples on this page are free.
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Free ready-to-teach lessons (slides and teacher notes): Discrete random variables & E(X) · Binomial distribution · Variance and standard deviation of X (extension).