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IB Maths AI HL · Unit 4: Statistics and Probability

IB Maths AI HL Linear Combinations of Random Variables & the Central Limit Theorem Questions

Updated October 2026

Exam-style IB Maths AI HL linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem questions with worked solutions. Start with the 3 fully worked examples below — each is solved step by step, showing the working that earns the marks — then try the practice questions and check your working against the mark scheme.

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Start with one question on linear combinations of random variables. Stuck? Take a hint. No sign-in needed.

E(X)=3 and Var(X)=2. Find Var(5X−4).
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What you need to know

HL AI expects you to plot the residuals, check for randomness, and interpret r² as a measure of model fit. Linear regression and residual analysis overview →

What's examined in AI HL linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem

The question bank covers these linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem question types (number of questions in brackets):

Key formulas

Mean & variance of Poisson
E(X)=λ, Var(X)=λ
Confidence interval for a mean (large n)
x¯±z∗⋅σn

In the same notation as the IB formula booklet. All AI HL formulas →

Linear Combinations of Random Variables & the Central Limit Theorem worked examples

Worked example 1: Transforming a Single Random Variable · easy

A random variable X has an expected value E(X)=8 and a variance Var(X)=5. A new random variable is defined by the linear transformation Y=3X−4. Calculate the exact values of E(Y) and Var(Y).

Solution

4 steps
Examiner tip: A common error is subtracting the constant b from the variance. Remember that shifting a dataset left or right does absolutely nothing to its variance or standard deviation.

Worked example 2: Summing Independent Random Variables · medium

The weights of red apples are normally distributed with a mean of 150 g and a variance of 10 g2. The weights of green apples are normally distributed with a mean of 130 g and a variance of 8 g2. If one red apple and one green apple are chosen at random, find the probability that their combined weight is greater than 290 g.

Solution

6 steps · 1 to fill in
Examiner tip: When combining variables, you must add their variances, never their standard deviations. If standard deviations are given in the prompt, square them first before adding.

Worked example 3: Applying the Central Limit Theorem · hard

The volume of liquid in a certain brand of energy drink follows a highly skewed distribution with a population mean of μ=250 ml and a population standard deviation of σ=12 ml. A quality control inspector takes a random sample of 36 cans. Find the probability that the mean volume of this sample, X¯, is less than 245 ml.

Solution

6 steps · 1 to fill in
Examiner tip: The Central Limit Theorem applies to the distribution of the sample mean. The original population is still skewed; it is only the means of the large samples that form a normal bell curve.

Try these IB Maths AI HL linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem questions

Three questions from the bank, easiest first. Mark schemes and AI marking of your written working are in the practice area. One of them has its full worked solution here, open to everyone.

Question 1 · easy · 3 marks · Paper 1

The weights of regular apples A are normally distributed with variance 15. The weights of large apples B are normally distributed with variance 25. An order contains 4 independently chosen regular apples and 2 independently chosen large apples. Find the exact variance of the total combined weight of the order.

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Question 2 · medium · 4 marks · Paper 1

A random variable X follows a normal distribution X∼N(50,42). A new variable Y is defined by the linear transformation Y=3X−10. Find the exact expected value and variance of Y.

Full worked solution Free, no sign-in

Apply the expectation rule: E(Y)=3E(X)−10=3(50)−10 M1
E(Y)=140 A1
Apply the variance rule (the constant does not affect variance): Var(Y)=32Var(X)=9×42 M1
Var(Y)=144 A1

Every question here has a full worked solution. See them all →

Question 3 · hard · 7 marks · Paper 2

The mass of a chocolate bar, X g, is distributed as X∼N(45,22). A gift box contains 6 randomly chosen bars, and the empty packaging has mass P g, where P∼N(20,1.52). All masses are independent.

  1. Find the probability that the total mass of a full gift box is between 285 g and 295 g.
  2. Two full gift boxes are chosen at random. Find the probability that the first box is more than 5 g heavier than the second box.
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FAQ

How many IB Maths AI HL linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem questions are there?

There are 22 exam-style linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem questions in the AI HL question bank (Paper 1: 16 · Paper 2: 6), graded 9 medium, 9 easy, 1 starter, 3 hard. Every question has a full IB-style mark scheme (M, A and R marks).

Is linear combinations of random variables & the central limit theorem on Paper 1 or Paper 2?

Both. In the bank, Paper 1: 16 · Paper 2: 6. Practise with your GDC — AI papers expect calculator methods throughout.

Where can I get the mark schemes?

Open the AI HL Unit 4 practice page: every question has a step-by-step IB-style mark scheme, and you can photograph your working for instant AI marking. The worked examples on this page are free.

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