An exponential model (or ) grows or decays by the same factor each step and levels off at the horizontal asymptote . In AI SL you evaluate a model, find its parameters from given information, solve for the time with your GDC, and say what each parameter means in context.
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In , the graph grows when and decays when ; with also decays. A population of 150 growing by 18% a month is .
Initial value and asymptote
At , , so the initial value is . As grows in a decay model the term shrinks towards 0, so is the horizontal asymptote: the value the quantity settles at. For the initial temperature is and the asymptote is room temperature.
Finding the parameters
Substitute the information you are given. If and in , then and . With an asymptote, use the starting value and the long-run value to find and first.
Solving for the time
To find when a model reaches a value, graph both sides on your GDC and find the intersection (or use the solver). For the value halves after years. Read the question for the form of the answer: a time, or the first whole year.
Interpreting the model
Say what each number means with units: in , 150 is the starting population and 1.18 means it grows by 18% each month. A model is only reliable over the range of data it was built from.
Key formulas
Exponential models Learn it
Horizontal asymptote of Learn it
Exponents & logs In the booklet
The IB formula booklet is provided in every exam paper. In the booklet = printed there, so know where to find it; Learn it = not in the booklet, so learn it by heart. All AI SL formulas →
Exponential Models worked examples
Worked example 1: Evaluating an exponential growth model · easy
The rabbit population is modelled by , in months. Calculate the expected population after months.
Solution
1. Substitute: .
2. Evaluate the power:
3. Multiply:
4. Recognise populations must be whole numbers.
5. State: rabbits.
5 steps
Examiner tip: Populations of living things (animals, bacteria, people) must be rounded to the nearest integer. Fractional organisms don't exist.
Worked example 2: Half-life of a depreciating asset · medium
A stamp depreciates: , in years. Using your GDC, find how many years for the stamp's value to halve.
Solution
1. Target: half of €€.
2. Set up: .
3. Simplify: .
4. Solve on the GDC (equation solver or intersection of with ).
5. Read: .
5 steps
Examiner tip: Half-life of is INDEPENDENT of the starting amount . Just solve each time.
Worked example 3: Cooling model and horizontal asymptote · hard
An ingot cools according to ( in minutes). Find the initial temperature and state the equation of the horizontal asymptote, explaining its meaning.
Solution
1. Substitute: .
2. Evaluate: , so .
3. Analyse: .
4. Asymptote: .
5. Interpret: is the ambient room temperature the ingot eventually cools to.
5 steps
Examiner tip: In cooling models , the constant is the ambient temperature and mathematically acts as the horizontal asymptote.
Play with itExponential growth model: drag the sliders
The table shows the number of bacteria (in thousands) after x hours. Change a and b so that y = a·bˣ fits the data (the check wants R² of at least 0.99). What do a and b mean in this context?
3 questions from our AI SL bank, written in the style of IB papers, easiest first. One has its full worked solution open here. Open the worked answer, or check your answer in the practice area.
Question 1 · medium · 5 marks · Paper 1
A heated liquid is placed in a room. Its temperature, in , after minutes is modelled by the function for .
Write down the initial temperature of the liquid.
Calculate the temperature of the liquid after exactly 10 minutes.
Write down the equation of the horizontal asymptote of the graph of and explain what it represents in the context of the problem.
Examiner's noteExponential and log models: e⁰ = 1, the equation vs the inequality, reading the model
Where marks are lost: Candidates treated a term with exponent 0 as zero, rounded b to 1 in f(t) = abᵗ, misread log₁₀x in a model, set an equation where the context needed an inequality (and then rounded the wrong way), gave calculator mantissas as answers, and commented on a model without using its equation.
Examiners flagged this in 3 exam series (May 2024, November 2024, November 2025). Summarised in our own words from IB subject reports, IB Programme Resource Centre. Read the full note →
Exponential Models on your calculator
A GDC is allowed on every AI paper. Keystrokes for the Casio fx-CG50, TI-84 Plus CE and TI-Nspire, with a checked worked example:
What is the horizontal asymptote of an exponential model?
For f(x) = k a^x + c the asymptote is y = c: the ka^x part tends to 0 as x grows (for decay), so the quantity levels off at c. In context it is the long-run value, such as room temperature for a cooling drink.
Do I need logarithms to solve exponential equations in AI SL?
You can, but the GDC is quicker and enough: graph both sides and find the intersection, or use the equation solver. Write down the equation you solved.
How many IB Maths AI SL exponential modelling questions are there?
There are 16 exam-style exponential modelling questions in the AI SL question bank (Paper 1: 1 · Paper 2: 15), graded 3 very hard, 8 hard, 5 medium. Every question has a full IB-style mark scheme (M, A and R marks).
Is exponential modelling on Paper 1 or Paper 2?
Both. In the bank, Paper 1: 1 · Paper 2: 15. Practise with your GDC — AI papers expect calculator methods throughout.