IA idea · Calculus & optimisation
How big is my local lake? Estimating area with the trapezoidal rule
Research question
How does the estimate of [a lake]'s area from the trapezoidal rule change as the number of strips increases, and how close does it get to the officially published area?
Adapt it: change the place, the data or the comparison until the question is yours.
Why it makes a good exploration
Irregular shapes have no area formula. The trapezoidal rule, applied to a real lake, island or park measured from a map, shows why numerical methods exist and how accuracy improves with more strips.
The mathematics you'll need
- The trapezoidal rule
- Coordinate geometry from a scaled map
- Error as a function of strip width
- HL: fitting functions to the boundary and integrating
Course labels show where a technique sits; using maths from outside your course is fine if you explain it clearly and say it is new to you.
Where the data comes from
Use OpenStreetMap or a satellite map with a scale bar; overlay a grid and read boundary widths.
- OpenStreetMap — Free map with exact coordinates of schools, hospitals, shops and stations; export or read off coordinates.
- GeoGebra — Free geometry and graphing software — Voronoi diagrams, loci and regression built in.
Cite every source in a footnote where you use it and in your bibliography. Check the licence of any dataset you download.
A possible outline
- Choose a lake with a published area.
- Set up axes and read widths at equal intervals.
- Apply the trapezoidal rule for 5, 10, 20 and 40 strips.
- Plot the estimate against strip number and analyse convergence.
- Discuss map scale, projection and seasonal water levels.
Pitfalls that cost marks
- Inconsistent scale conversion.
- Too few strips to see a trend.
- Not explaining why the rule over- or under-estimates on curved edges.
Showing personal engagement
- Choose a lake or park that matters to you.
- Compare with a pixel-counting estimate.
- Predict the error before calculating it.
See Criterion C: personal engagement for what examiners look for.
Taking it further
Compare with Simpson's rule (new maths — explain it) and discuss which converges faster and why.