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Examiner Insights · IB Maths AI SL

Where IB Maths AI SL students lose marks — and exactly what to do about it

IB subject reports are released only to schools, so we have not read them and do not quote them. This page is built from the IB's free specimen markschemes, the IB's published syllabus hours, and public summaries by teachers and revision sites (each linked). Treat every point as lower confidence than our A Level and IGCSE pages, which use the boards' public reports.

  • 12sources checked
  • 5syllabus topics weighted
  • 6mistakes catalogued
  • 5focus areas for May 2027

Summaries are in our own words with links to the originals. Predictions are informed guesses, not a guarantee.

Ranked for May 2027

What to focus on for May 2027

November 2026 candidates can use the same list. Ranked by how often each area appeared, how many marks it carried and how weakly it was answered.

Informed prediction, not a guarantee: any topic on the specification can be examined.

  1. 1

    Statistics: tests, distributions and interpretation

    The largest SL AI topic (36 of 150 hours); chi-squared and notation errors are common in revision-site summaries.

    Lower confidenceSyllabus weightSecondary summaries
  2. 2

    Modelling with functions

    31 hours; GDC working must be written down.

    Lower confidenceSyllabus weight
  3. 3

    Financial mathematics on the TVM solver

    Sign-convention errors cascade through whole questions.

    Lower confidenceSecondary summaries
  4. 4

    Calculus and optimisation

    19 hours.

    Lower confidenceSyllabus weight
  5. 5

    Geometry, trigonometry and Voronoi diagrams

    18 hours.

    Lower confidenceSyllabus weight
Mistakes library

The 6 mistakes that cost the most marks

Ordered by how often and how widely they were reported. The first 5 are free in full; Pro unlocks the fix and a worked example for every other one.

#1Accuracy: not exact, not 3 s.f., or rounded too early

What examiners saw: The public specimen markschemes state that answers should be exact or correct to 3 significant figures unless a question says otherwise. Tutor summaries of examiner feedback list rounding (and early rounding in multi-step questions) among the most common avoidable losses.

Fix: Keep full values in the GDC; round only the final answer, to 3 s.f. unless told otherwise. On Paper 1 (no calculator) leave answers exact.

Worked example (our own): A population grows as P = 1200e^(0.035t). Find t when P = 2000, then the population 5 years later.

Loses marks

  1. e^(0.035t) = 5/3 ⇒ t ≈ 15
  2. P(20) = 1200e^(0.7) = 2416.5, so 2420

Earns the marks

  1. t = ln(5/3)/0.035 = 14.595… (keep this in the GDC)
  2. P(t + 5) = 1200e^(0.035 × 19.595…) = 2382.4… ≈ 2380 (3 s.f.)

Why: Rounding t to 15 before the second step changed the final answer. IB markschemes expect exact answers or 3 significant figures, from unrounded working.

Sources: IB DP Mathematics: analysis and approaches specimen papers and markschemes (free on ibo.org); MrQ Maths — The most common mistakes in IB Maths; TutorsPlus — IB Maths Analysis and Approaches exam tips from IB examiners

#2GDC answers with no working written down

What examiners saw: Revision-site guidance based on examiner feedback: method marks are given for writing what you asked the GDC to do. A bare wrong answer scores nothing.

Fix: Write the equation, function or distribution you entered, then the answer.

Worked example (our own): Solve x³ − 2x − 5 = 0.

Loses marks

  1. x = 2.09

Earns the marks

  1. x³ − 2x − 5 = 0 (solved on GDC)
  2. x = 2.09 (3 s.f.)

Why: Write down the equation or function you entered. If the final value is wrong, the method mark depends on it.

Sources: RevisionPrep — IB Maths GDC: how to answer GDC questions effectively; AssessPrep — IB Math AI: GDC workflow

#3Finance: TVM solver signs and payments per year

What examiners saw: Revision-site guides call the sign convention the most common cause of cascading errors in financial questions: PV and PMT with the same sign, FV not zero, P/Y and C/Y not set.

Fix: Money received positive, money paid negative. Set P/Y and C/Y, and write all the values you entered.

Worked example (our own): A $10 000 loan at 5% annual interest, compounded monthly, is repaid monthly over 5 years. Find the monthly payment.

Loses marks

  1. N = 60, I% = 5, PV = 10000, FV = 10000 → error / nonsense

Earns the marks

  1. N = 60, I% = 5, PV = 10000, FV = 0, P/Y = 12, C/Y = 12
  2. PMT = −188.71, so the payment is $188.71 per month
  3. (PV positive: money received; PMT negative: money paid out)

Why: Money in and money out need opposite signs, and FV is 0 when the loan is fully repaid. Write the values you entered.

Sources: Revision-site guides to the TVM solver sign convention; AssessPrep — IB Math AI: GDC workflow

#4Chi-squared tests: degrees of freedom, small expected values, conclusions

What examiners saw: Revision guides highlight df errors, not combining categories with expected frequencies below 5, and conclusions that are not in context.

Fix: df = (r − 1)(c − 1) for independence; combine cells if any expected frequency < 5; conclude in the words of the question.

Worked example (our own): A 3 × 2 contingency table is used to test whether preference depends on age. The p-value is 0.031. State the degrees of freedom and a conclusion at the 5% level.

Loses marks

  1. df = 6 − 1 = 5. p < 0.05 so reject H₀.

Earns the marks

  1. df = (3 − 1)(2 − 1) = 2
  2. p = 0.031 < 0.05, so reject H₀
  3. There is evidence at the 5% level that preference depends on age

Why: df = (rows − 1)(columns − 1). A conclusion must be in context; if any expected frequency is below 5, combine rows or columns first.

Sources: AssessPrep — IB Math AI: GDC workflow

#5Probability: calculator syntax instead of notation, and "at least" misread

What examiners saw: Secondary guidance: examiners expect the distribution and probability statement, not GDC syntax, and "at least" is often translated wrongly.

Fix: Write X ~ B(n, p) and the probability statement (e.g. 1 − P(X ≤ 3)), then the value.

Worked example (our own): X ~ B(10, 0.3). Find P(X ≥ 4).

Loses marks

  1. binomcdf(10, 0.3, 4) = 0.850

Earns the marks

  1. P(X ≥ 4) = 1 − P(X ≤ 3)
  2. = 1 − 0.6496… = 0.350 (3 s.f.)

Why: Write the distribution and the probability statement in mathematical notation, not calculator syntax, and translate "at least" carefully.

Sources: RevisionPrep — IB Maths GDC: how to answer GDC questions effectively; MrQ Maths — The most common mistakes in IB Maths

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Your mistakes vs the examiners' hot-spots

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Top 10 mistakes examiners see in IB Maths AI SL

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Sources

Where this comes from

IB subject reports are released only to schools, so we have not read them and do not quote them. This page is built from the IB's free specimen markschemes, the IB's published syllabus hours, and public summaries by teachers and revision sites (each linked). Treat every point as lower confidence than our A Level and IGCSE pages, which use the boards' public reports.

FAQ

What are the most common mistakes in IB Maths AI SL?

The most repeated points are: Accuracy; GDC answers with no working written down; Finance. Each one on this page has the fix and, where free, a worked example showing the wrong and right method.

Which IB Maths AI SL topics come up most?

In the material we analysed, the biggest areas were Statistics and probability (36 hours), Functions (31 hours), Calculus (19 hours).

Is this a prediction of the May 2027 paper?

No one outside the exam board knows what will be on the next paper. The "focus" list is an informed prediction from how often topics appeared and how weakly they were answered; it is not a guarantee, so revise the whole specification.

Where does this information come from?

IB subject reports are released only to schools, so we have not read them and do not quote them. This page is built from the IB's free specimen markschemes, the IB's published syllabus hours, and public summaries by teachers and revision sites (each linked). Treat every point as lower confidence than our A Level and IGCSE pages, which use the boards' public reports.